Peru vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1978 |
NED
0 - 0
PER
78%
13%
9%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1978 |
PER
3 - 1
SCO
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1978 |
BRA
3 - 0
PER
82%
14%
4%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
PER
2 - 1
CHN
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1978 |
MEX
0 - 1
PER
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1978 |
SCO
1 - 1
IRN
74%
15%
10%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1978 |
NED
3 - 0
IRN
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1978 |
FRA
2 - 1
IRN
75%
16%
10%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1978 |
IRN
0 - 1
WAL
65%
19%
15%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
IRN
0 - 0
YUG
32%
24%
44%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |