Peru vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
17.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1935 |
PER
1 - 0
CHI
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1935 |
ARG
4 - 1
PER
67%
18%
15%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1935 |
URU
1 - 0
PER
69%
17%
14%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 1930 |
URU
1 - 0
PER
71%
17%
13%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1930 |
ROU
3 - 1
PER
65%
18%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1936 |
FIN
1 - 4
DEN
49%
21%
31%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1935 |
DEN
5 - 1
FIN
80%
12%
9%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1935 |
FIN
1 - 5
NOR
49%
20%
31%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1935 |
GER
6 - 0
FIN
79%
12%
9%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1935 |
FIN
2 - 2
EST
80%
12%
9%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |