Peru vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1987 |
ARG
1 - 1
PER
74%
18%
8%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1987 |
CHI
1 - 0
PER
65%
22%
14%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1987 |
PER
2 - 0
CHI
43%
29%
29%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1987 |
PER
1 - 3
CHI
44%
29%
27%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1986 |
BRA
4 - 0
PER
82%
14%
5%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 1987 |
ARG
3 - 0
ECU
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 91 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1987 |
BRA
4 - 1
ECU
87%
10%
3%
|
66 | 95 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1987 |
URU
2 - 1
ECU
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
ECU
3 - 0
COL
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 1987 |
COL
1 - 0
ECU
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |