Peru vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
6.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
BOL
1 - 0
PER
35%
23%
42%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
MEX
0 - 3
PER
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1952 |
BRA
0 - 0
PER
78%
13%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1952 |
CHI
3 - 2
PER
48%
20%
32%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
PER
2 - 5
URU
49%
21%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1949 |
ECU
3 - 2
COL
35%
22%
43%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1949 |
BOL
2 - 0
ECU
70%
16%
14%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
PER
4 - 0
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
CHI
1 - 0
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1949 |
URU
3 - 2
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | -1 |