Peru vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
8.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
3 - 2
PER
77%
14%
10%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1947 |
CHI
2 - 1
PER
50%
21%
29%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1947 |
PER
2 - 2
PAR
63%
18%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1942 |
CHI
0 - 0
PER
44%
22%
35%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
URU
3 - 0
PER
62%
19%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1947 |
URU
6 - 1
ECU
81%
12%
7%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1947 |
ECU
0 - 3
CHI
37%
22%
41%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1947 |
COL
0 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
9%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
ECU
2 - 2
BOL
51%
21%
28%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1945 |
BRA
9 - 2
ECU
84%
10%
6%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |