Peru vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
11.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
ARG
3 - 1
PER
69%
17%
14%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1942 |
BRA
2 - 1
PER
61%
19%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
PAR
1 - 1
PER
47%
22%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1941 |
URU
2 - 0
PER
62%
19%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
PER
4 - 0
ECU
72%
15%
13%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
70%
16%
14%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1942 |
ARG
12 - 0
ECU
77%
14%
9%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
URU
7 - 0
ECU
74%
15%
11%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
PER
4 - 0
ECU
72%
15%
13%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ARG
6 - 1
ECU
75%
15%
10%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |