Peru vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
12.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1941 |
ARG
2 - 1
PER
68%
18%
15%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
CHI
1 - 0
PER
43%
22%
36%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1941 |
PER
0 - 3
ARG
40%
23%
38%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
PER
1 - 1
ARG
40%
23%
38%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
PER
1 - 1
ARG
39%
23%
38%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ARG
6 - 1
ECU
75%
15%
10%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
URU
6 - 0
ECU
74%
15%
11%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
CHI
5 - 0
ECU
58%
19%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
60%
19%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
CHI
4 - 1
ECU
52%
21%
27%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -2 |