Peru vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.4%
19.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1938 |
PER
2 - 1
VEN
66%
18%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1938 |
BOL
0 - 3
PER
45%
22%
33%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1938 |
ECU
1 - 9
PER
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1938 |
COL
2 - 4
PER
62%
19%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1937 |
PAR
0 - 1
PER
56%
21%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1938 |
BOL
2 - 1
ECU
51%
21%
28%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1938 |
ECU
2 - 5
VEN
65%
18%
17%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1938 |
ECU
1 - 9
PER
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 1938 |
COL
1 - 2
ECU
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1938 |
BOL
1 - 1
ECU
45%
22%
33%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |