Peru vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
33.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2000 |
ECU
2 - 1
PER
53%
26%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
PER
0 - 1
BRA
10%
20%
70%
|
86 | 100 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
CHI
1 - 1
PER
71%
19%
11%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
PER
2 - 0
PAR
36%
28%
36%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
SUI
0 - 1
PER
61%
24%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2000 |
COL
1 - 3
ARG
24%
27%
49%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
COL
3 - 0
VEN
75%
17%
8%
|
90 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2000 |
COL
3 - 0
JAM
70%
20%
11%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
BOL
1 - 1
COL
35%
28%
37%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2000 |
COL
0 - 0
BRA
11%
20%
69%
|
89 | 100 | 11 | +1 |