Peru vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.2%
16.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1947 |
BOL
0 - 2
PER
32%
22%
45%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1947 |
URU
1 - 0
PER
62%
19%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1947 |
PER
5 - 1
COL
60%
19%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1947 |
PER
0 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
8%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
3 - 2
PER
77%
14%
10%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
3 - 0
COL
63%
18%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1947 |
CHI
4 - 1
COL
59%
19%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1947 |
PER
5 - 1
COL
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
2 - 0
COL
56%
20%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
6 - 0
COL
78%
13%
9%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |