Peru vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
20.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1947 |
PER
0 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
8%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
3 - 2
PER
77%
14%
10%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1947 |
CHI
2 - 1
PER
50%
21%
29%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1947 |
PER
2 - 2
PAR
63%
18%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1942 |
CHI
0 - 0
PER
44%
22%
35%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1947 |
PAR
2 - 0
COL
56%
20%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
6 - 0
COL
78%
13%
9%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1947 |
COL
0 - 0
BOL
77%
13%
10%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1947 |
COL
0 - 0
ECU
79%
12%
9%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1947 |
URU
2 - 0
COL
64%
18%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |