Peru vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
35.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
PER
0 - 1
PAR
33%
29%
38%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
SLV
1 - 0
PER
26%
26%
48%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
PAR
1 - 0
PER
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
BOL
3 - 0
PER
43%
27%
31%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2008 |
PER
1 - 1
ARG
15%
24%
61%
|
86 | 98 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
RSA
0 - 2
CHI
27%
30%
44%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2009 |
HND
2 - 0
CHI
41%
29%
31%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
ESP
3 - 0
CHI
74%
18%
7%
|
91 | 100 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 0
ARG
23%
26%
52%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ECU
1 - 0
CHI
45%
27%
27%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | -1 |