Peru vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2005 |
PER
0 - 0
URU
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
COL
5 - 0
PER
62%
24%
15%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2005 |
UAE
0 - 0
PER
31%
29%
40%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
JPN
0 - 1
PER
64%
22%
14%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2005 |
PER
2 - 2
ECU
51%
26%
23%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2005 |
CHI
2 - 1
VEN
69%
20%
12%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
CHI
3 - 1
BOL
64%
22%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2005 |
PAR
2 - 1
CHI
54%
25%
22%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
CHI
1 - 1
URU
39%
26%
35%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2005 |
CHI
3 - 0
ECU
57%
24%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |