Peru vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2001 |
HND
0 - 0
PER
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2000 |
PER
5 - 2
KAZ
81%
13%
7%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
PAR
5 - 1
PER
64%
22%
14%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
PER
1 - 1
HKG
83%
12%
5%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
BOL
1 - 0
PER
45%
27%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2001 |
HND
3 - 1
CHI
35%
27%
38%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
CHI
0 - 2
ARG
29%
26%
46%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
ECU
1 - 0
CHI
34%
27%
39%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
CHI
0 - 1
COL
59%
23%
18%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2000 |
CHI
3 - 0
BRA
17%
22%
61%
|
90 | 100 | 10 | 0 |