Peru vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
26.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
CHI
4 - 2
PER
62%
23%
15%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1985 |
PER
0 - 1
PAR
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
MEX
1 - 0
PER
66%
22%
12%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1985 |
MEX
0 - 0
PER
66%
21%
12%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1985 |
ARG
2 - 2
PER
75%
18%
8%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
CHI
4 - 2
PER
62%
23%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
CHI
0 - 0
PAR
59%
24%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1985 |
CHI
1 - 0
URU
47%
27%
25%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1985 |
PAR
0 - 0
CHI
48%
28%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1985 |
BRA
3 - 1
CHI
82%
13%
5%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |