Peru vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1982 |
CHI
2 - 1
PER
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1981 |
PER
0 - 0
URU
47%
27%
25%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1981 |
URU
1 - 2
PER
61%
24%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1981 |
PER
2 - 0
COL
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 1981 |
PER
1 - 2
CHI
51%
24%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1982 |
CHI
2 - 1
PER
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
CHI
0 - 0
BRA
17%
24%
59%
|
81 | 95 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1981 |
PER
1 - 2
CHI
51%
24%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 1981 |
URU
0 - 0
CHI
57%
25%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1981 |
CHI
1 - 1
ESP
36%
29%
36%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |