Peru vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1977 |
PER
4 - 0
ECU
77%
14%
9%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
CHI
1 - 1
PER
56%
22%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1977 |
ECU
1 - 1
PER
37%
24%
39%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1977 |
PER
3 - 2
HUN
24%
26%
50%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1976 |
URU
0 - 0
PER
58%
22%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
CHI
3 - 0
ECU
79%
14%
8%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
CHI
1 - 1
PER
56%
22%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
ECU
0 - 1
CHI
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1977 |
PAR
2 - 0
CHI
49%
24%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
URU
3 - 0
CHI
52%
23%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |