WC Qual. S.America Final
Global 2-2
Peru vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1973 |
PER
4 - 0
PAN
75%
15%
11%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
PAR
1 - 1
PER
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1973 |
PER
1 - 0
PAR
48%
23%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1973 |
PER
2 - 0
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
PER
5 - 1
GTM
68%
17%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1973 |
ECU
1 - 1
CHI
28%
22%
51%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1973 |
HTI
1 - 1
CHI
37%
23%
40%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1972 |
ARG
2 - 0
CHI
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1972 |
CHI
0 - 2
MEX
48%
24%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1972 |
CHI
2 - 1
IRN
69%
17%
15%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |