Peru vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
11.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
PER
2 - 1
ECU
91%
6%
3%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1956 |
PER
2 - 4
CRC
52%
21%
27%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1956 |
CHI
2 - 2
PER
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1956 |
BRA
1 - 0
PER
77%
13%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
MEX
0 - 2
PER
64%
18%
18%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1957 |
BRA
4 - 2
CHI
87%
8%
4%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1956 |
CHI
3 - 0
CSK
51%
21%
28%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
MEX
2 - 1
CHI
66%
18%
17%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1956 |
CHI
2 - 2
PER
58%
20%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
ARG
3 - 0
CHI
79%
13%
8%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | -1 |