Peru vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
14.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
PER
5 - 2
ECU
63%
18%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1938 |
PER
2 - 1
VEN
66%
18%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1938 |
BOL
0 - 3
PER
45%
22%
33%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1938 |
ECU
1 - 9
PER
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1938 |
COL
2 - 4
PER
62%
19%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
PAR
5 - 1
CHI
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1937 |
PER
2 - 2
CHI
63%
19%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1937 |
PAR
3 - 2
CHI
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1937 |
URU
0 - 3
CHI
74%
15%
11%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +2 |
| 03 Jan. 1937 |
BRA
6 - 4
CHI
71%
16%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |