Peru vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
18.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1937 |
ARG
1 - 0
PER
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1937 |
URU
4 - 2
PER
68%
17%
15%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1936 |
BRA
3 - 2
PER
63%
19%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1936 |
PER
4 - 2
AUT
29%
21%
50%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 1936 |
PER
7 - 3
FIN
65%
18%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1937 |
PAR
3 - 2
CHI
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1937 |
URU
0 - 3
CHI
74%
15%
11%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +2 |
| 03 Jan. 1937 |
BRA
6 - 4
CHI
71%
16%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1936 |
ARG
2 - 1
CHI
70%
17%
13%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1935 |
PER
1 - 0
CHI
59%
20%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |