Peru vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
21%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1935 |
ARG
4 - 1
PER
67%
18%
15%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1935 |
URU
1 - 0
PER
69%
17%
14%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 1930 |
URU
1 - 0
PER
71%
17%
13%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1930 |
ROU
3 - 1
PER
65%
18%
17%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1929 |
PAR
5 - 0
PER
52%
22%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1935 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1935 |
ARG
4 - 1
CHI
68%
18%
14%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1934 |
CHI
4 - 3
JPN
53%
21%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1934 |
PHL
0 - 2
CHI
31%
23%
46%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1934 |
CHI
2 - 0
INE
66%
18%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |