Peru vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
PER
1 - 3
BGR
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1970 |
PER
0 - 2
SUN
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1970 |
PER
0 - 0
SUN
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1970 |
PER
2 - 0
ROU
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
ARG
2 - 2
PER
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
PER
1 - 3
BGR
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1970 |
MEX
2 - 0
BGR
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
MEX
1 - 1
BGR
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
MAR
3 - 0
BGR
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
LUX
1 - 3
BGR
31%
23%
46%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | +1 |