Peru vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
69.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2007 |
CHI
2 - 0
PER
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
PER
0 - 0
PAR
40%
28%
32%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2007 |
PER
2 - 0
BOL
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
PER
2 - 2
COL
34%
29%
38%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2007 |
CRC
1 - 1
PER
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2007 |
BRA
5 - 0
ECU
85%
12%
4%
|
99 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
COL
0 - 0
BRA
17%
23%
60%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2007 |
BRA
3 - 1
MEX
76%
16%
8%
|
99 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
USA
2 - 4
BRA
20%
24%
57%
|
99 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
BRA
2 - 0
ALG
90%
8%
2%
|
99 | 76 | 23 | 0 |