Peru vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
41.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
PER
2 - 2
PAR
62%
18%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1953 |
CHI
0 - 0
PER
55%
20%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1953 |
PER
1 - 0
ECU
83%
11%
6%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
BOL
1 - 0
PER
35%
23%
42%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
MEX
0 - 3
PER
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
BRA
1 - 0
URU
70%
15%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1953 |
BRA
2 - 0
ECU
88%
8%
4%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
BRA
8 - 1
BOL
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 1952 |
BRD
4 - 2
BRA
39%
22%
39%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 1952 |
BRA
2 - 1
LUX
85%
10%
6%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |