Peru vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
PER
2 - 2
COL
34%
29%
38%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2007 |
CRC
1 - 1
PER
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2007 |
ARG
4 - 0
PER
88%
10%
2%
|
86 | 98 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2007 |
PER
2 - 2
BOL
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
VEN
2 - 0
PER
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2007 |
ECU
1 - 0
BOL
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2007 |
PER
2 - 2
BOL
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 1
URU
15%
20%
65%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2007 |
VEN
2 - 2
BOL
45%
23%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 0
PAR
32%
28%
41%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |