Peru vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2004 |
ARG
2 - 1
PER
76%
17%
8%
|
86 | 98 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
PER
0 - 0
VEN
65%
21%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2004 |
URU
1 - 3
PER
64%
22%
14%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
CHI
1 - 1
PER
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2004 |
PER
0 - 2
COL
40%
28%
32%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
ECU
3 - 2
BOL
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2004 |
BOL
2 - 1
PAR
31%
28%
41%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
BOL
0 - 2
CHI
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2003 |
VEN
2 - 1
BOL
44%
25%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
ARG
3 - 0
BOL
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 99 | 16 | 0 |