Peru vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2001 |
ARG
2 - 0
PER
80%
15%
5%
|
86 | 98 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
VEN
3 - 0
PER
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2001 |
PER
0 - 2
URU
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2001 |
COL
0 - 1
PER
68%
21%
12%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2001 |
COL
3 - 0
PER
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2001 |
BOL
3 - 1
BRA
11%
18%
71%
|
82 | 99 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
BOL
1 - 5
ECU
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2001 |
PAR
5 - 1
BOL
70%
20%
11%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2001 |
CHI
2 - 2
BOL
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2001 |
BOL
0 - 4
CRC
35%
25%
40%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |