Peru vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
COL
2 - 2
PER
42%
29%
29%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
BOL
1 - 1
PER
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1983 |
PER
1 - 0
COL
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1983 |
PER
1 - 1
URU
47%
28%
25%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1983 |
CHI
2 - 0
PER
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
COL
2 - 2
BOL
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
CHI
4 - 2
BOL
72%
17%
12%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
BOL
1 - 1
PER
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1983 |
BOL
0 - 1
COL
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1983 |
BOL
1 - 3
PAR
29%
24%
47%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |