Peru vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 1977 |
BRA
1 - 0
PER
81%
14%
5%
|
77 | 93 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1977 |
PER
1 - 3
POL
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
HTI
2 - 2
PER
30%
24%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1977 |
HTI
1 - 2
PER
31%
24%
45%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1977 |
MEX
2 - 1
PER
60%
22%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1977 |
BRA
8 - 0
BOL
83%
13%
4%
|
66 | 93 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
BOL
1 - 2
POL
18%
22%
60%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
URU
2 - 2
BOL
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
BOL
2 - 0
VEN
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
VEN
1 - 3
BOL
58%
20%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |