Peru vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
10.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
7 - 1
PER
75%
14%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
PER
4 - 0
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
3 - 1
PER
55%
20%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
PER
4 - 0
COL
66%
17%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1947 |
BOL
0 - 2
PER
32%
22%
45%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1949 |
BOL
2 - 0
ECU
70%
16%
14%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
BOL
3 - 2
URU
25%
20%
55%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
10 - 1
BOL
86%
9%
5%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
BOL
3 - 2
CHI
36%
22%
42%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 1948 |
BOL
2 - 2
VEN
42%
23%
36%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |