Peru vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
50%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1936 |
PER
7 - 3
FIN
65%
18%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1935 |
PER
1 - 0
CHI
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1935 |
ARG
4 - 1
PER
67%
18%
15%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1935 |
URU
1 - 0
PER
69%
17%
14%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 1930 |
URU
1 - 0
PER
71%
17%
13%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1936 |
AUT
3 - 1
EGY
78%
13%
10%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1936 |
ITA
2 - 2
AUT
57%
19%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1936 |
AUT
2 - 1
ENG
57%
19%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
AUT
3 - 5
HUN
64%
17%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
AUT
1 - 1
CSK
67%
17%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |