Peru vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
49.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1985 |
PER
4 - 1
VEN
80%
13%
7%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
PER
0 - 0
COL
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
VEN
0 - 1
PER
27%
24%
49%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1985 |
COL
1 - 0
PER
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1985 |
BOL
0 - 0
PER
28%
24%
48%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1985 |
ARG
1 - 0
COL
79%
16%
6%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
ARG
3 - 0
VEN
91%
7%
2%
|
91 | 60 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
COL
1 - 3
ARG
20%
28%
53%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1985 |
VEN
2 - 3
ARG
8%
22%
71%
|
91 | 61 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1985 |
ARG
2 - 0
CHI
72%
19%
9%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | +1 |