Peru vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1969 |
PER
2 - 1
PAR
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1969 |
PER
2 - 1
PAR
52%
22%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1969 |
PER
1 - 0
URU
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 1969 |
PER
1 - 1
COL
75%
14%
11%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1969 |
MEX
3 - 0
PER
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 1969 |
BOL
3 - 1
ARG
29%
25%
46%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1969 |
ARG
2 - 1
CHI
67%
20%
14%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1969 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARG
43%
26%
32%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1969 |
PAR
0 - 0
ARG
36%
26%
37%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1969 |
ARG
1 - 1
PAR
68%
19%
14%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |