Paraguay vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1972 |
PAR
1 - 0
PER
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1972 |
PAR
4 - 1
VEN
75%
15%
11%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1972 |
ARG
0 - 0
PAR
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1972 |
BRA
3 - 2
PAR
83%
12%
5%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1971 |
PAR
2 - 0
PER
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1972 |
BOL
1 - 1
YUG
29%
25%
46%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1972 |
YUG
10 - 0
VEN
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1972 |
SUN
3 - 0
YUG
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
YUG
0 - 0
SUN
56%
25%
20%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1971 |
YUG
0 - 0
LUX
92%
6%
3%
|
85 | 47 | 38 | +1 |