Paraguay vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ARG
3 - 1
PAR
77%
15%
8%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 3
GTM
72%
19%
10%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
BOL
3 - 1
PAR
23%
27%
50%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
GTM
0 - 1
PAR
17%
26%
57%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
PAN
71%
19%
10%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
PER
2 - 1
VEN
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
JPN
1 - 1
VEN
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
VEN
0 - 2
CHI
29%
27%
44%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
URU
1 - 1
VEN
75%
16%
9%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
VEN
4 - 0
MDA
72%
18%
11%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |