Paraguay vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 2
PAR
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 0
ECU
50%
25%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 0
CHI
41%
28%
32%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
ROU
41%
27%
32%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOL
65%
21%
14%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
VEN
1 - 0
ECU
38%
25%
37%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 0
VEN
90%
8%
2%
|
86 | 99 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
MEX
0 - 3
VEN
11%
20%
70%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
VEN
0 - 3
ESP
11%
19%
70%
|
86 | 100 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
GTM
0 - 2
VEN
32%
27%
41%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |