Paraguay vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
ARG
1 - 1
PAR
68%
21%
11%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2000 |
BOL
0 - 0
PAR
33%
28%
39%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2000 |
PAR
2 - 1
BRA
13%
21%
66%
|
89 | 100 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2000 |
CHI
3 - 1
PAR
56%
23%
21%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2000 |
PAR
1 - 0
CRC
59%
23%
17%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
PER
1 - 0
VEN
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2000 |
CRC
1 - 5
VEN
82%
13%
6%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +3 |
| 25 Jul. 2000 |
VEN
0 - 2
CHI
22%
25%
53%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2000 |
URU
3 - 1
VEN
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 91 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2000 |
MEX
2 - 1
VEN
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 91 | 25 | 0 |