Paraguay vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 1991 |
PAR
1 - 0
PER
63%
23%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOL
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1991 |
BOL
0 - 1
PAR
24%
25%
51%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1991 |
BRA
1 - 1
PAR
78%
16%
6%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
ECU
3 - 1
PAR
28%
25%
47%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 1991 |
ARG
3 - 0
VEN
74%
18%
8%
|
61 | 90 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1991 |
CHI
2 - 0
VEN
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
CHI
5 - 0
VEN
89%
8%
3%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1989 |
BRA
6 - 0
VEN
96%
3%
1%
|
61 | 95 | 34 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1989 |
VEN
1 - 3
CHI
8%
24%
68%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | -1 |