Paraguay vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
17%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1970 |
PAR
2 - 1
COL
72%
16%
12%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
BRA
1 - 0
PAR
84%
11%
6%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1969 |
PAR
0 - 3
BRA
23%
25%
52%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1969 |
COL
0 - 1
PAR
30%
21%
48%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 1969 |
VEN
0 - 2
PAR
39%
22%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1969 |
BRA
6 - 0
VEN
86%
10%
4%
|
65 | 91 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1969 |
VEN
0 - 5
BRA
19%
22%
59%
|
65 | 91 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1969 |
VEN
0 - 2
PAR
39%
22%
40%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 1969 |
VEN
1 - 1
COL
67%
17%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1969 |
COL
3 - 0
VEN
48%
21%
31%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |