Paraguay vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
PER
2 - 0
PAR
36%
28%
36%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
HND
0 - 3
PAR
37%
28%
35%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
HND
0 - 3
PAR
38%
28%
35%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
PAN
0 - 2
PAR
27%
28%
45%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
URU
3 - 0
PAR
58%
22%
20%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
URU
4 - 2
BOL
78%
15%
7%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
UKR
2 - 3
URU
34%
26%
41%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
URU
3 - 0
PAR
58%
22%
20%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
PER
0 - 2
URU
17%
21%
63%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
ARG
1 - 1
URU
68%
18%
14%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |