Paraguay vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
34.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1999 |
PAR
1 - 0
PER
63%
21%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1999 |
PAR
4 - 0
JPN
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 1999 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOL
62%
21%
16%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 1999 |
PAR
2 - 1
COL
47%
28%
26%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1999 |
PAR
2 - 3
URU
43%
27%
30%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1999 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
64%
21%
16%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1999 |
URU
2 - 1
ECU
64%
21%
15%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1999 |
URU
0 - 1
COL
51%
25%
24%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1999 |
PAR
2 - 3
URU
43%
27%
30%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1998 |
CHI
2 - 2
URU
57%
23%
20%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | +1 |