Paraguay vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1979 |
PAR
2 - 0
ECU
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
ECU
1 - 2
PAR
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1979 |
PAR
2 - 0
BOL
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1979 |
BOL
1 - 1
PAR
31%
23%
46%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1979 |
BOL
3 - 1
PAR
28%
23%
49%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
URU
2 - 1
ECU
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1979 |
ECU
2 - 1
URU
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1979 |
PER
2 - 0
URU
52%
24%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1979 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1979 |
CHI
1 - 0
URU
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |