Paraguay vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
39.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1953 |
ANT
8 - 0
PAR
19%
20%
61%
|
69 | 23 | 46 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1953 |
SLV
4 - 1
PAR
40%
20%
41%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
HND
2 - 1
PAR
47%
20%
34%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
PER
2 - 2
PAR
62%
18%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1953 |
PAR
0 - 0
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
CHI
3 - 2
URU
42%
21%
37%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1953 |
URU
2 - 0
BOL
79%
13%
9%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1952 |
BRA
4 - 2
URU
69%
16%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
CHI
2 - 0
URU
45%
21%
34%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
URU
6 - 1
PAN
71%
16%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |