Paraguay vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
38.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1946 |
BRA
1 - 1
PAR
76%
14%
11%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1946 |
PAR
4 - 2
BOL
71%
16%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1946 |
CHI
2 - 1
PAR
54%
21%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1946 |
ARG
2 - 0
PAR
75%
15%
10%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 1945 |
PAR
1 - 3
ARG
33%
23%
44%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1946 |
ARG
3 - 1
URU
66%
17%
17%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1946 |
URU
5 - 0
BOL
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1946 |
BRA
4 - 3
URU
60%
18%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1946 |
URU
1 - 0
CHI
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1946 |
URU
1 - 1
BRA
48%
21%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |