Paraguay vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
39.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 1931 |
ARG
3 - 1
PAR
66%
19%
14%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1931 |
ARG
1 - 1
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1931 |
PAR
1 - 1
ARG
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1931 |
PAR
0 - 1
ARG
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 1930 |
PAR
1 - 0
BEL
49%
22%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1936 |
URU
2 - 1
ARG
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1936 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1935 |
ARG
3 - 0
URU
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1935 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1935 |
ARG
0 - 3
URU
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |