Paraguay vs Turkey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
17.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1995 |
ARG
2 - 1
PAR
66%
21%
12%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1995 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOL
63%
23%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
BOL
1 - 1
PAR
34%
29%
37%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
PER
2 - 2
PAR
33%
31%
37%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
ARG
0 - 0
PAR
66%
22%
12%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
HND
0 - 1
TUR
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
CAN
0 - 3
TUR
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
CAN
1 - 3
TUR
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
SUI
1 - 2
TUR
68%
20%
11%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
TUR
2 - 1
SWE
20%
26%
54%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | +1 |