Paraguay vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
COL
1 - 1
PAR
49%
27%
24%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 0
VEN
71%
18%
10%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 3
URU
45%
23%
32%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2004 |
BRA
1 - 2
PAR
89%
8%
3%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 1
CHI
55%
22%
23%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
BOL
1 - 0
PER
45%
27%
28%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
PER
1 - 3
ARG
18%
25%
57%
|
86 | 98 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
PER
0 - 1
ARG
4%
13%
83%
|
86 | 98 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2004 |
PER
2 - 2
COL
24%
25%
51%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
PER
3 - 1
VEN
67%
19%
15%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |