Paraguay vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
13.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
COL
0 - 2
PAR
49%
26%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
PAR
3 - 0
VEN
74%
18%
8%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
ARG
1 - 1
PAR
68%
21%
11%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2000 |
BOL
0 - 0
PAR
33%
28%
39%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2000 |
PAR
2 - 1
BRA
13%
21%
66%
|
89 | 100 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
PER
1 - 1
HKG
83%
12%
5%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
BOL
1 - 0
PER
45%
27%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
PER
1 - 0
KWT
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2000 |
PER
5 - 4
KOR
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2000 |
KSA
6 - 1
PER
53%
26%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |