Paraguay vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
14.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1993 |
PAR
1 - 3
ARG
26%
29%
46%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1993 |
COL
0 - 0
PAR
50%
27%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1993 |
BRA
2 - 0
PAR
78%
16%
7%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1993 |
ECU
3 - 0
PAR
45%
27%
28%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1993 |
BRA
3 - 0
PAR
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1993 |
PER
0 - 1
COL
36%
32%
32%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1993 |
PER
0 - 1
ARG
18%
27%
55%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1993 |
URU
3 - 0
PER
70%
21%
9%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 1993 |
PER
1 - 2
URU
27%
31%
42%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1993 |
PER
2 - 4
MEX
32%
30%
37%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |